1. Introduction
1. Europe is somewhat envious
of the United States success story in the energy field. Low energy
prices, new jobs and tax revenue, increased energy security – these
are the top benefits of the unconventional energy boom in the United
States. Whereas a dash for shale oil and gas gave a spectacular
boost to the US economy and sent very powerful ripples through the
global energy market, it is also impacting Europe through a lower energy
import bill and geopolitical developments – but also in terms of
reduced investments in renewable energy sources.
2. Can and should Europe join the development of non-conventional
hydrocarbons? This is a polarising question that has sparked a heated
debate across the continent. On the one hand, these energy resources have
been branded as a game changer that can help satisfy growing energy
needs worldwide, stimulate economic growth and increase domestic
energy security. On the other hand, voices have been raised about the
negative impact of the extraction process on the environment. Tapping
unconventional fossil fuels on top of the traditional ones may also
aggravate global warming.
3. The exploitation of non-conventional resources remains a high-intensity
and complex process. Hence, when discussing future prospects for
this industry in Europe, all aspects of the process need to be examined and
regulatory needs should be properly assessed.
To
this end, we must bear in mind that some of the environmental and
public health impacts may take years, even decades, to come to light.
4. There is hence a pressing need for Europe to debate the issue
and see what are the policy and technological options for making
sound strategic choices in the field of unconventional fossil fuels.
In order to encourage an informed and objective discussion, this
report considers and weighs the benefits and risks, as well as looking
at the lessons to be drawn from the US experience. This report seeks
realistic answers to questions about the prospects, (pre)conditions
and legislative challenges for tapping unconventional fossil fuels
in Europe in a way that takes into account the needs of the present
generation without compromising those of the future generations.
2. Fossil fuels and sustainable development
5. In September 2015, the United
Nations adopted new Sustainable Development Goals, which are supposed
to guide the international community’s action for the next fifteen
years. In order to ensure universal access to affordable, reliable
and modern energy services, it is recommended to substantially increase
the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix. By 2030,
the world must enhance international co-operation in order to facilitate
access to clean energy research and technology, including renewable
energy, energy efficiency and advanced and cleaner fossil-fuel technology,
and promote investment in energy infrastructure and clean energy
technology.
6. By the same token, the new global warming target of 2°C was
adopted by international consensus in December 2015 and signed in
April 2016 in Paris.
According
to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), global
warming of more than 2°C would have serious consequences, such as
an increase in the number of extreme climate events. However, the
Paris Summit also included a non-binding limit of 1.5°C.
7. According to the IPCC, the world can only burn one trillion
tonnes of carbon equivalent, if we are to stay within the 2°C limit.
We have already burnt 550 billion tonnes since the start of the
industrial revolution. Of the remaining 450 billion tonnes, 20%
is accounted for by other greenhouse gases, leaving a budget of
just 360 billion tonnes of carbon, or 1 320 tonnes of carbon dioxide.
If the annual global carbon dioxide emissions continue at the same
intensity as today, in order to have just a probability bigger than
66%
of limiting temperature rise to 2°C above
pre-industrial levels, the world will have completely exhausted
this budget before the end of 2045.
It is estimated that the world has
more than a trillion tonnes of carbon in conventional fossil fuel
reserves alone, which is three times the amount that could be safely
burnt for a two-thirds chance of staying within 2°C of warming.
The 2°C limit requires that 80% of coal, 50% of gas and one third
of oil remain below ground.
If the lower target
of 1.5°C is to have just a 50% probability of achievement then the
world’s remaining carbon budget from 2016 is only 140 billion tonnes,
which will be exhausted by 2030 at the current level of emissions.
8. From the sustainable development perspective, developing unconventional
sources such as shale oil, shale gas or tar sands is useless, as
increased production will have to be met by a greater reduction
in conventional fossil fuel production elsewhere. Therefore, for
Europe to fulfil its climate change obligations, it must reduce
fossil fuel consumption and refocus its production efforts on sustainable
alternatives.
9. Our collective international environmental obligations entail
a responsibility upon Council of Europe member States to apply the
highest environmental, legal and technological standards and to
introduce strong measures to protect public health and the environment.
In addition, they imply that the exploration and exploitation of
unconventional fossil fuels (in particular shale gas and oil) should
be scaled back in favour of research and development into cleaner
alternatives.
10. Nevertheless, even though renewables also offer energy security
without the attendant health and environmental risks of burning
fossil fuels, the impetus to develop national fossil fuel resources
should not be underestimated. In Europe, shale gas production is
often claimed to be a way to diversify the energy supply and decrease
reliance on imports. European dependency on gas, from Russia, is
expected to exceed 70% in the coming years. The current crisis in
eastern Europe might have significant repercussions for energy security.
3. Background
information on non-conventional hydrocarbons
11. Exploration and exploitation
of non-conventional hydrocarbons in Europe refers mainly to hydraulic fracturing
(“fracking”) of oil and gas (shale gas mostly, as well as coal-bed
gas and tight gas) using horizontal drilling, but also to specific
techniques such as electric, thermal or propane fracking. As far
as their nature is concerned, conventional and unconventional gas
and oil are exactly the same. What makes the difference is the method
of extraction.
12. Hydraulic fracturing produces fractures in the rock formation,
which stimulate the flow of natural gas or oil, increasing the volumes
that can be recovered. Wells may be drilled vertically hundreds
to thousands of meters below the land surface and may include horizontal
or directional sections extending thousands of meters. Fractures
are created by pumping large quantities of fluids at high pressure
down a well-bore and into the target rock formation. Hydraulic fracturing
fluid commonly consists of water, proppant and chemical additives
that open and enlarge fractures within the rock formation. The proppants
– sand, ceramic pellets or other small incompressible particles
– hold open the newly created fractures.
13. Once the injection process is completed, the internal pressure
of the rock formation causes fluid to return to the surface through
the well-bore. This fluid is composed of both “flowback” and “produced
water”, and may contain the injected chemicals plus several naturally
occurring materials such as brines, metals, radionuclides, and hydrocarbons.
The flowback and produced water is typically stored on site in tanks
or pits before treatment, disposal or recycling.
14. Shale gas, that is to say natural gas trapped within shale
formations, is typically found in underground layers anything from
a few meters to tens of meters thick and at maximum depths of 6
to 7 kilometres. Worldwide technically recoverable shale gas reserves
are sizeable and estimated to be approximately 200 trillion cubic
metres (tcm), of which 16 tcm are located in Europe – the largest
reserves are estimated to exist in China, the United States, Argentina
and Mexico.
15. Shale gas is not a new discovery; people have had knowledge
of its existence for a very long time. What is new is the technology
for accessing it at a relatively low cost, but a cost that varies
depending upon the legal safeguards that have been put in place
as well as geological conditions. The question is not whether or
not there are shale gas deposits, but where these can be accessed
at a low direct cost and without environmental disasters. Whatever
the size of the reserves, the amount of the extraction depends on
political, geological and geographical factors, environmental implications
and public acceptance.
16. According to current geological knowledge, shale gas reserves
are widespread across Europe, with Gas in Place (GIP)
estimates
equal to 37.6 tcm for England, 13 tcm for Germany, 2 tcm for Spain,
and approximately 5 tcm for Poland. Technically recoverable reserves
are a matter of some dispute; in Poland, for example, fracking companies
gave up after 2 years due to unfavourable geological conditions.
However, company estimates are on the generous side and usually
range between 10% and 20% of GIP. Sizeable reserves are present
in France, Ukraine, Bulgaria and Romania, although national studies
confirming this potential have not yet been conducted. In some shale
reservoirs, shale oil is also present.
17. Some countries, for instance the United Kingdom, advocate
burning gas instead of coal for the reason that gas produces less
carbon dioxide (CO2) per unit of energy.
However, this observation ignores the events “upstream”: namely
the processes needed to locate, extract, store, transport and deliver
gas to its destination. Gas consists almost entirely of methane,
a powerful greenhouse gas with a global warming potential (GWP) 86
times greater than an equivalent mass of CO2,
over a 20-year time frame.
Over 100 years, the GWP
of methane is 36, an IPCC estimate from their 2013 report that has
been increased by 44% since the United Kingdom Department of Energy
and Climate Change (DECC) last examined the problem (using outdated
GWP estimates from IPCC 2007).
18. Releases of methane from upstream operations can be deliberate
(due for example to venting) or can be accidental. They are referred
to as fugitive emissions. There is a large difference in fugitive
emissions between conventional and unconventional methods of gas
extraction. A large reservoir of natural gas may require only a
handful of platforms to extract the underlying resources, which
typically are under pressure and therefore relatively simple to
release and capture. By contrast, unconventional sources such as
shale gas are present as bubbles of gas within shale rock formations.
Extraction is extremely challenging, and requires the injection
of sand, water, chemicals and lubricants under pressure and thousands
of well-heads may be required to locate and extract significant
quantities of gas. The potential for leaks, whether accidental or
deliberate, is correspondingly greater.
The same goes
for the extraction of shale oil; fugitive emissions of methane from shale
oil operators may be even worse than for shale gas as the shale
oil operators have no financial interest in capturing the methane
released by their activities.
19. Evidence suggests that shale gas is at least twice as harmful
as coal from a climate change perspective.
Simulation modelling
demonstrates that any benefit to the climate from burning gas in
place of coal is lost if fugitive emissions exceed 2% of gas production.
In the United States, shale activity releases fugitive methane emissions
that represent 6% to 8% of the total production (from well to delivery).
This is confirmed by top-down data (TD
data) from aircraft and satellites which provides a more accurate
measure of methane releases from shale operations. US satellite
data indicates bigger releases over exploratory fields (over 10%)
than over established fields, so “green completions” (ensuring that
wells are capped and methane is captured and nothing is burned or
vented) are vital even in early stages of exploration. Bottom-up
data generally underestimate the amount of methane being released
by fracking in the United States, which is up to 10 times more than
conventional methods of gas extraction. Conventional gas is associated
with methane losses of around 1%, which means that the advantage
of burning gas over coal is 25% and not 50%. However, liquefying
natural gas is an energy-intensive process that adds 20%-25% to
the carbon footprint. This indicates that liquefied natural gas
is equivalent to burning coal in terms of its impact on global warming.
4. The
economic, environmental, public health, technological and energy
security implications
4.1. The
economic, technological, energy security and geostrategic dimensions
20. Historically, the political
instability in the Middle East always led to higher oil prices,
as the conflicts interrupted drilling operations and oil shipments.
However, this is the first time that oil prices have not increased despite
extreme instability in the region, including the tensions between
Iran and Saudi Arabia. This is due to the response of oil operators
in Saudi Arabia to the American fracking boom which could lead to
the energy independence of the United States. Increased oil production
is reducing global oil prices which, in turn is reducing the profitability
of fracking. This has profound political, financial and environmental
implications. In particular, the impact of lower oil prices is to
encourage greater fossil fuel use and to lower investment in renewables,
which increases the pressure on climate change. Therefore, the growth
of fracking is adding to fossil fuel consumption and hindering development
of sustainable energy. In particular, investments in renewables
are wrongly assessed and rejected against current low energy costs
based on oil production that is unsustainable if we are to fulfil
our Paris COP21 obligations.
21. In the European Union, conventional gas production has been
declining since 1990 and imports of natural gas, essentially from
Russia, Norway, Algeria and Qatar, represent two thirds of consumption. European
unconventional gas resources are insufficient for competing with
cheap imports. For many European countries, it does not make economic
sense to carry out hydraulic fracturing.
22. It is estimated that carrying out fracking in the United States
is approximately two times cheaper than in Europe, partly because
geological conditions in Europe are more complex, but mainly because
the fracking industry in the United States was granted exemptions
from the Clean Water and Clean Air Acts. Furthermore, the shale
gas and oil revolution is likely to be short-lived since the life-cycle
of shale gas or oil wells ranges from five to seven years. According
to the French energy company Total, the extraction of shale gas
and oil requires deep drilling of 10 to 100 times more wells in
comparison to conventional oil and gas. This requires constant important
financial investments.
23. It is hard to see any worthwhile economic benefits from fracking
in Europe, except for the shale operators, and even then they will
only make a profit if they are heavily subsidised by governments
initially. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently calculated
the cost of energy subsidies to the world community at $5.3 trillion
annually (6.5% of global gross domestic product (GDP)).
The British
Government has offered generous tax breaks to fracking companies,
bypassed local planning laws, and passed an Infrastructure Bill
so
that fracking companies could perform their operations under land
without the owners’ permission, and also near to National Parks.
In contrast, British tax breaks for renewables have been reduced
for solar power and planning regulations have become more restrictive
for on-shore wind farms. Nevertheless, there are huge risks for
those investing in fracking as they run the risk of losing all of
their investment if it is decided that fracking is incompatible
with European Union, United Kingdom or the United Nation’s climate
change commitments.
24. It took around 30 years for shale operators in the United
States to produce shale gas and shale oil in significant quantities.
During this time, they were largely unregulated, which means that
the relatively low cost of their product has been achieved at the
expense of fugitive emissions into the atmosphere, which aggravates climate
change, and as yet unquantified effects upon the health of the local
population through noise, intrusion on property, local air quality,
possible contamination of water supplies and the dumping of contaminated
water.
25. Moreover, Europe and the United States have completely different
land ownership legislation and conditions. On the one hand, the
United States is sparsely populated. The owner owns the soil as
well as the subsoil of the land which is a big incentive to exploit
its resources. On the other hand, most of Europe is densely populated
and negotiations are more complicated; the State often has to intervene
as an intermediate between the land owner and the company which
wants to exploit land resources.
26. There is no reason to believe that the techniques developed
for shale formations in the United States will be applicable in
Europe. For instance, shale operators gave up trying to extract
shale gas in Poland
due to hostile
geological factors: the deposits were too deep and too hard to extract.
27. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), European
energy security cannot be guaranteed on the basis of the US unconventional
gas experience, because there are too many uncertainties. It would
take years (between five and fifteen years) to develop commercially
viable shale oil and gas in Europe with prices expected to be twice
those in the United States because of local geology, stricter environmental
controls, public acceptance issues and less well developed drilling
capacities.
4.2. The
social, environmental, and public health dimensions
28. One of the main concerns about
fracking is the impact on climate change outlined above. The need
to stop burning coal is obvious; shale gas is at least two times
worse than coal from a climate change perspective. Without a global
carbon cap, additional gas would add to the pollution of fossil
fuels, driving emissions higher and making climate change harder
to mitigate. Even with a global carbon cap, further fossil fuel
exploitation will bring down the price of gas and thus will increase
consumption of fossil fuels. According to the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change, the life cycle of CO2 from
shale gas is twice as short as that of coal or oil but it is still
longer than that of green energy (wind and solar).
29. In addition, fracking does not contribute towards the EU Horizon
2020 goal to encourage the development of low carbon energy. The
EU goals for climate and energy are by 2020 to cut greenhouse gas emissions
by 20% below the 1990 level, to cover 20% of energy needs from renewable
resources and to shrink energy consumption by 20%. The EU Energy
Roadmap 2050 adopted in 2011 seeks to further cut emissions to 80%-95%
below the 1990 level.
30. The second most important concern is without doubt the different
environmental implications of fracking, such as water and air pollution,
alongside consequences for land use and biodiversity. Large quantities
of water and waste products need to be shipped in or out of a fracking
site and each fracking well requires up to 6 million gallons of
water and produces around 3 million gallons of waste. In the absence
of pipelines, this has to be brought in and out by lorries, causing
further impact on local communities. Because of lax regulation,
fracking companies commonly dispose of contaminated fracking water
in the cheapest, easiest ways they can find, regardless of the consequences
for communities, water treatment facilities and the environment.
31. Hydraulic fracturing has the potential to contaminate both
surface and ground drinking water with methane and drilling chemicals.
However,
the joint United Kingdom report by the Royal Society and the Royal Academy
of Engineering concluded that fracking could be done safely if appropriate
safeguards are in place. We should note that this report did not
consider the effect of industrial-scale fracking on climate change.
In order to frack, an enormous amount of water is mixed with various
toxic chemical compounds to create frack fluid. This frack fluid
is further contaminated by the heavy metals and radioactive elements
that exist naturally in the shale. A significant portion of the
frack fluid returns to the surface. Without proper oversight, the
waste fluid can be dumped in rivers and streams. Underground water
supplies can theoretically be contaminated by fracking, through
the migration of gas and frack fluid underground.
32. Some of the chemicals used for fracking are highly toxic and
can cause cancer, like Benzene, Toluene, 2-butoxyethanol (a main
ingredient in anti-freeze and oil dispersants), and heavy metals.
The Endocrine Disruptor Exchange (TEDX) has identified 353 chemicals
used in fracking, many of which can cause cancer and other serious
health problems, even in small doses. At present, there are no regulations
obliging fracking companies to disclose the chemical additives they
use during the process.
33. Groundwater becomes contaminated by hydraulic fracturing in
a number of ways, including leakage from liquid storage areas, leakage
from injection wells, leakage during hydro-fracking along faults
or in abandoned wells, seepage into the ground when wastewater and
residuals are applied to land (for example used for irrigation or
on roads for dust suppression or de-icing), and other means.
34. Land is being polluted by acid rain, by leaks of used water
full of chemicals which infiltrates the ground and by tornadoes/storms
which spread the chemicals in the environment. There is also a land
impact from deforestation and clearing forests for fracking sites.
35. Adverse effects of fracking on both wild and domestic animals
have been noted (loss of habitat, obstacles on the route of migration
of endangered species and deaths from drinking and breathing polluted water
and air).
36. Other risks include earthquakes, explosions and fires. Noise
pollution (from the trucks which transport used water) and visual
“pollution” (from the important number of wells being built due
to the short life span of a fracking well) are among other hazards.
37. There is little evidence of specific health effects to be
assigned to shale operations per se, but this may emerge over time.
However, any population exposed to shale operations should be monitored
both before and after fracking activities have ceased. It is difficult
to determine how many of the alleged or observed health effects
are actually due to fracking chemicals per se and how many are related
to extraneous activities. Some of the claimed health impacts are
physical (acute and long-term neurological complaints, upper respiratory issues,
headaches, fatigue and nausea), and some are psychological (mistrust
of industrial companies and governmental authorities, stress, etc.).
38. It is important to note that it is rather hard to meet people
who have participated in scientific studies that prove health effects,
as many of them have signed confidentiality agreements with the
fracking companies. Nevertheless, there exist a number of studies
which show meaningful concerns for human health. A recent study
“Towards an understanding of the environmental and public health
impacts of shale gas development: an analysis of the peer reviewed
scientific literature, 2009-2015” (April 2016) provides an overview
of scientific research in the field. The analysis of the body of
scientific literature published between 2009 and 2015 indicates that
26 studies (84%) contain findings that relate public health hazards,
elevated risks or adverse health outcomes with unconventional natural
gas development and only 5 studies (16%) contain findings that indicate no
significant public health hazards, elevated risks or adverse health
outcomes.
39. Studies show that fracking contributes to air pollution as
a source of particulates. Evidence shows that it may have effects
on pregnant women, foetal health and outcomes in children exposed
in utero to diesel emissions, in
particular, lower IQ (some studies indicate around 4 IQ points,
similar to that seen with lead in petrol) and mental disorders in
primary school children including ADHD, anxiety and depression.
Decreased birth weight near wellheads may be explained by the diesel
emitted around fracking sites rather than fugitive emissions or
contamination of the water supply by fracking chemicals.
40. As was mentioned above, the fracking industry employs a huge
variety of chemicals in order to lubricate and facilitate their
operations. Some of these chemicals are “grade I carcinogens”. In
addition, fracking releases radioactive substances trapped in rock
formations such as radon gas, so waste products from fracking need
to be handled in specific waste disposal facilities adapted to radioactive
waste. This means that all chemicals used by fracking companies
should include a health-effects profile with appropriate justification
for the use of chemicals with carcinogenic potential.
41. Apart from environmental and health impacts, fracking also
causes property damage and value loss. Disadvantaged people are
more likely to be exposed to pollution from fracking.
5. Lessons
to be drawn from the United States experience
42. Most experience with fracking
has been gained in the United States where extraction technologies
have been developed since 1970. Shale gas accounts for 67% of the
country’s natural gas extraction.
43. In the United States, the extraction industry was granted
exemptions from the most important environment regulations. Therefore,
the US Environment Protection Agency (EPA) was not mandated to undertake
routine monitoring of shale gas or shale oil operations. As a result,
there has been a fierce debate as to the magnitude of methane released
by fracking in the United States. Part of the problem is that EPA estimates
are based on very limited monitoring, mainly around fracking sites,
which is likely to miss larger releases from compressors, storage
depots, antiquated pipelines and poorly operated facilities. Additionally, no
official survey in the United States has taken into account the
huge releases of methane from the Aliso Canyon blowout in California,
which released prodigious quantities of methane from a gas storage
depot equivalent to the entire annual releases of a field such as
the Barnett Shale.
44. The US experience clearly demonstrates the consequences of
allowing a fossil fuel industry to regulate itself. The oil and
gas industry is protected by laws passed in Congress which allows
it not to respect federal environmental regulations (such as the
Clean Air Act, the Clean Water Act and the Safe Drinking Water Act). Thus,
fracking is mostly governed by State regulations. The oil and gas
industry silences individuals through non-disclosure clauses to
avoid them talking about potential environmental and health issues
caused by fracking.
45. There is a general lack of transparency regarding the chemicals
used by the industry and there are no or few environmental and health
impact assessments of fracking.
The
New York State environmental impact assessment led to a ban of fracking
in the State of New York.
There is no regulation on quotas
of organic components emissions, waste management, or on the chemicals
used for fracking. A very recent study from Harvard documented a
30% increase in methane emissions over the United States since 2002,
which accounts for between 30% and 60% of the increase in atmospheric
methane seen globally over the same period.
Shale operations are the most likely
explanation for these observations.
46. In the United States, fracking, and especially related leaks,
increase water and climate change problems, thus creating major
public health issues regarding drinking water and air quality. On-site
surveys signalled a 6% to 9% rate of well failures and had established
a list of 243 cases in which shale-exploring companies had contaminated
private drinking water resources over 2008-2014. Fines in cases
of accidental pollution are not sufficient to be dissuasive and
violators of regulations are often not even fined.
In
addition, the burden of proof in case of pollution lies on the inhabitants
and not on the oil and gas industry.
47. Fracking companies have used Investor State Dispute Settlements
powers in free trade agreements through arbitration courts to sue
countries for using environmental protection as a constraint on
industry profit. In particular, Lone Pine sued the Canadian Government
for $250 million for the fracking moratorium in Quebec and TransCanada
is suing the US Government for $15 billion over the halting of the
Canada–US sand-oil pipeline. Therefore, it is important that EU
trade deals, in particular with the United States (the Transatlantic Trade
and Investment Partnership (TTIP) and the Trade in Services Agreement
(TISA)) and Canada (the Comprehensive Economic Trade Agreement (CETA))
are drafted in a way which enables European countries to freely
and fairly safeguard their environments from the negative effects
of fracking.
6. The
situation in Europe
48. In Europe there is still little
experience in the field of hydraulic fracturing. Nevertheless, it
can be considered as an emerging trend since many believe that it
could resolve two pressing issues: increasing energy demand and
dependence on gas imports. As described above, fracking is associated
with a number of hazards; adequate regulation and enforcement frameworks
could help to mitigate these risks.
49. In the document “Conclusions on Energy” (4 February 2011),
the Council of the European Union proposed that “in order to further
enhance its security of supply, Europe's potential for sustainable
extraction and use of conventional and unconventional (shale gas
and oil shale) fossil fuel resources should be assessed”.
On 25 September
2012, the European Parliament published a report on the environmental impacts
of shale gas and shale oil extraction activities (2011/2308(INI)).
Under the Environmental Impact Assessment Directive (EIA Directive),
projects for the extraction
of natural gas exceeding 500 cubic meters/day are subject to a mandatory
Environmental Impact Assessment. However, the average amount of
shale gas gathered through fracking mostly remains under this limit.
50. The environmental and health threats from fracking gave rise
to a debate in the European Parliament on whether to enact a mandatory
EIA for fracking projects. In October 2013, the European Parliament
passed an amendment to the EIA Directive under which fracking shall
be subject to a mandatory EIA, regardless of the amount extracted.
However, the Council did not approve the proposed amendment. Therefore,
the most recent amendment of the EIA Directive does not change the
fracking legislation. Consequently, on 22 January 2014, the European
Commission made a recommendation
on minimum principles required
when the States apply their regulations on fracking. Such recommendations
are not binding and member States do not have to follow the Commission’s
proposals. A few months ago, a motion for a resolution in the European
Parliament on energy security was rejected due to a reference to
an unconventional gas.
51. For the time being, fracking is banned in Bulgaria, France,
Germany, the Netherlands and Scotland. It is authorised in Denmark,
England, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, Sweden and Ukraine. Austria
applies restrictive laws. Six EU countries are considering fracking,
including Germany.
52. In the United Kingdom, the drilling company Cuadrilla Resources
claimed to have found vast reserves at its site near Blackpool.
The company claimed that the Blackpool site alone has 5 trillion
cubic meters of gas (ten times more than the US estimates for the
whole of the United Kingdom). Its operation was put on hold after causing
seismic tremors in 2011. A moratorium on fracking lasted 18 months.
A report by the British Government’s advisers published in April
2012 gave the green light to the fracking project despite acknowledging
the link between the process and the earthquakes. In 2015, the government
was in favour of fracking, while local authorities were reluctant
to grant the necessary authorisations. In Scotland, there is a moratorium
on fracking and Wales makes it impossible for permits to be obtained
due to strict planning regulations.
53. According to the US Energy Information Administration 2011
report, Poland had 187 trillion cubic feet of technically recoverable
shale gas resources.
However,
the 2012 Polish Geological Institute study showed that the above
report was too optimistic, as Poland’s recoverable shale gas resources
did not seem to exceed 768 billion cubic meters (which is approximately
85%-95% less than the US EIA predicted). Following several protests
and bad performance of the wells due to geological reasons, the
foreign investors decided to quit. The optimistic 2011 announcement
by Poland’s then-prime minister that drilling would begin in 2014,
was followed by a modest announcement by Poland’s environment ministry
about the need to be more patient. The multinationals which had
invested in Poland pulled out one by one with Chevron being the
last one to quit in 2015. None of the wells drilled by the end of
2015 could be exploited commercially. At the present moment, fracking
in Poland has been put on hold.
54. In France, fracking was forbidden by a 2011 law. In 2014,
an expert report was completed on the experimentation of an operating
technology based on fluoropropane as a cleaner alternative to fracking. However,
the government never agreed to implement it.
55. In Germany, reports by the Federal Institute for Geosciences
and Natural Resources (BGR) claim that, especially in the north,
shale gas supplies are significantly larger than those of conventional
gas. In 2014, the German Government announced a law banning commercial
shale gas production, which can be considered as a de facto moratorium. In April 2015,
a legislative package was adopted for the limitation of exploitation
of conventional and non-conventional fuels.
56. In Bulgaria, a moratorium has been implemented. In Austria,
there are restrictive laws and de facto no fracking
can take place.
57. Therefore, we may conclude that the modest position which
the European Commission takes, and the strong and divergent approaches
of the European countries concerning their shale gas regulations,
shows that Europe is largely divided in the face of the shale gas
revolution.
7. Conclusions
and recommendations
58. In the last decade, the hydraulic
fracturing technique has been used in the United States to commercially exploit
shale gas. In Europe, while proponents of this technique highlight
possible benefits in terms of energy security, prices, employment
and revenue, others point to negative experiences and environmental
and public health risks.
59. The fossil industry is now working to a very limited carbon
budget, so it would be better not to waste financial resources exploring
new reserves of fossil fuels which cannot possibly be developed
if the world is to remain on course for a global warming target
of 2°C, let alone 1.5°C. Thus, member States should refrain from adopting
energy policies which would impede the achievement of the goal to
minimise the impacts of climate change.
60. Instead, resources and time should be focused on the development
of renewables becoming the central part of the energy mix, including
solar, wind, hydraulic, geothermal, biomass and marine power, as
well as decreasing energy consumption and being more energy sufficient.
Energy consumption must be decoupled from economic and demographic
growth, and an integrated approach to energy diversification must
be adopted including households, transport and industry.
It is important to accelerate
efforts for a pan-European plan so that renewable energy such as
solar power or wind power in different countries can help iron out
the fluctuations in energy supply which result from the regional
use of a solitary renewable energy source.
61. The choice for Europe is whether to be sidetracked into more
fossil fuel exploitation or to take global leadership in renewable
technology and co-operation. If the developing world is to have
its fair share of energy consumption then developed economies must
help provide it with renewable energy technologies to avoid associated
climate change, for example by extending networks of solar forests
across southern Europe and northern Africa and pioneering carbon
capture. Time and resources are limited, so the best focus for sustainability
must be adopted.
62. In the meantime, emerging satellite data on the climate change
impact of US fracking and environmental concerns should lead to
a suspension of fracking by application of the precautionary principle.
In the face of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific
evidence must not be used as a reason for postponing cost-effective
measures to prevent environmental degradation. Independent research
concerning the risks of exploration and exploitation of non-conventional
hydrocarbons should be initiated.
63. Unconventional oil and gas are unlikely to be a game changer
in Europe, mainly due to their weak economic viability and environmental
impact. There is a need for each country and region to properly
weigh up local specificities, needs and opportunities in terms of
energy supplies over the short and the long term. For those countries
which would like to pursue or launch the practice, they must first
ensure that the scale of permitted fracking is consistent with their
greenhouse gas emission targets agreed at the COP21 in Paris.
64. To sum up, I believe that the Assembly should urge all Council
of Europe member States to clarify and strengthen their legislation
in favour of cleaner energy alternatives. Pending a possible ban
on fracking, member States should limit and control the exploration
and exploitation of non-conventional hydrocarbons by adopting strict
environmental regulations.
65. In addition, to protect public health and the local environment,
several basic conditions should be fulfilled:
- adopting regulations ensuring transparency, a compulsory
Environmental Impact Assessment for any fracking project and the
obligation for industrial companies to comply with all environmental
regulations;
- transparency regarding the chemicals used during the process
(what chemicals are being used, and in what quantity);
- efficient criminal prosecution of individuals and companies
not following the regulations, including compensation for environmental
damage;
- obligation for companies to introduce more safe and environmentally
friendly drilling techniques.
66. There is scope to develop better drilling techniques which
could render fracking a more environmentally friendly practice.
Instead of being released into the atmosphere, some methane and
CO2 could be captured and sold on the markets
to reduce the amount of gas released in the environment. This technique
is called the “green completion”. Unfortunately, it is not commonly
used as it is time-consuming.
67. Member States should protect areas with great environmental
and cultural value, such as national parks, from drilling operations.
68. EU trade deals, including the Transatlantic Trade and Investment
Partnership and the Comprehensive Economic Trade Agreement, should
be drafted in a way which enables European countries to freely and
fairly safeguard the environment and to fulfil their COP21 obligations,
without special provisions for investors, including those in unconventional
hydrocarbon extraction, to trump environmental responsibilities.