<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//IETF//DTD HTML//EN">
<html>

<head>
<meta http-equiv="Content-Language" content="en-gb">
<meta name="GENERATOR" content="Microsoft FrontPage 5.0">
<meta name="ProgId" content="FrontPage.Editor.Document">
<title> Population trends in Europe and their sensitivity to policy measures </title>
<link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="../../../css/pa2.css">
</head>

<body>

<blockquote>
  <!--webbot bot="Include" U-Include="../../Docheader.htm" TAG="BODY" startspan --><strong>[Documents/Docheader.htm]</strong><!--webbot bot="Include" endspan i-checksum="64216" -->
  
  <font SIZE="2" face="Verdana">
  
 
    <span lang="EN-GB">
  
 
  <b>
  
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">Population trends in Europe and their 
  sensitivity to policy measures</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">Doc. 10320<br>
  </font>
  </b>
  <font size="2">6 October 2004</font></p>
  
 
  <b>
  
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">Opinion<a href="#_ftn1" name="_ftnref1" title>[1]</a><br>
  </font>
  </b>
  <font size="2">Social, Health and Family Affairs Committee<br>
  Rapporteur : Mrs Christine McCafferty, United Kingdom, Socialist Group</font></p>
  </span>
  
  </font>
<hr size="1">
    <span lang="EN-GB">
  
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">1.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  The Rapporteur congratulates Mr Brunhart on his report on population trends in 
  Europe and his observations on policy measures aiming to respond to the trends 
  of population ageing and population decrease. </font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">2.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  A number of issues raised in the report have also been dealt with by the 
  Social, Health and Family Affairs Committee in recent years, namely :</font></p>
  <ul>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">challenges of social policy in Europe&#146;s 
    ageing societies (<a href="../../AdoptedText/TA03/EREC1591.htm">Recommendation 
    1591 (2003)</a>)</font></li>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">future of senior citizens : protection, 
    participation and promotion (<a href="../../AdoptedText/TA99/EREC1428.htm">Recommendation 
    1428 (1999)</a>)</font></li>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">reform of healthcare systems in Europe : 
    reconciling equity, quality and efficiency (<a href="../../AdoptedText/TA03/EREC1626.HTM">Recommendation 
    1626 (2003)</a>)</font></li>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">future of social security in Europe (<a href="../../AdoptedText/TA04/EREC1661.htm">Recommendation 
    1661 (2004)</a>)</font></li>
  </ul>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">3.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  In line with Mr Brunhart&#146;s report, the Committee was of the opinion that 
  reforms necessary to respond to the challenges of ageing societies in Europe 
  ought to be part of a wider political debate in order to: create conditions 
  for active ageing in good health; make pension systems viable while 
  maintaining standards that are enshrined in the legal instruments of the 
  Council of Europe; reform healthcare services while guaranteeing access and 
  quality of care; increase levels of employment of the working age population; 
  improve working conditions in order to reconcile paid work with family life; 
  achieve more equal sharing of paid and unpaid work between men and women; and 
  finally reduce labour costs through a shift in taxation.</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">4.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  The Committee also made a number of recommendations with regard to protection 
  of retired and elderly people, their participation in society (active ageing, 
  flexible retirement arrangements, inter-generational exchange of experience; 
  voluntary work, etc.) and with regard to individual dignity and image of the 
  elderly in society (role of media and advertising worlds, vocabulary used 
  particularly in public services, etc.).</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">5.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  Persistence of mass unemployment in many member countries and the threat of 
  lessening of social rights through reform of social security systems are of 
  deep concern. Social rights, if effectively guaranteed, are a factor of social 
  cohesion, as well as one of democratic stability. Social security has a price 
  but it can cost still more economically, socially and politically to be 
  without it. </font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">6.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  In line with the objective of greater social cohesion and solidarity, the main 
  criterion for judging the success of health system reforms in Europe, should 
  be effective access to health care for all without discrimination - a basic 
  human right. Measures undertaken by member states to raise additional revenue 
  and contain costs in health care should be sought without affecting equality 
  of access and greater emphasis should be placed on prevention and primary 
  care.&nbsp; </font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">7.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  In June this year, the Social, Health and Family Affairs Committee adopted a 
  report on European strategy for the promotion of sexual and reproductive 
  health and rights which is tabled for a debate this week in the Assembly. It 
  coincides with the 10-year review of implementation of the Cairo Programme of 
  Action which was adopted at the International Conference on Population and 
  Development (ICPD) in 1994 and which represents the acknowledgement by the 
  international community and by all signatory countries, including all Council 
  of Europe member states, that the individual must be placed at the heart of 
  all population, demographic and sustainable development policies.</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">8.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  The ICPD Programme of Action is often heralded as a paradigm shift away from 
  the purely demographic targets of the 1960s, 70s and 80s towards an approach 
  which recognizes the central and legitimate right for every individual, in 
  this case particularly women, to make their own informed choices about if and 
  when to found a family and the number and spacing of their children. </font>
  </p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">9.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  According to <i>The State of World Population 2004</i> UNFPA report<a href="#_ftn2" name="_ftnref2" title>[2]</a>, 
  approximately 150 countries around the world have taken active steps to meet 
  the commitments enshrined in the ICPD Programme of Action since 1994 and an 
  ever increasing number of countries around the world have adopted 
  comprehensive population policies, in Europe, often in the form of legislation 
  on sexual and reproductive health and rights. For example, Armenia adopted 
  such a law a few years ago and Georgia has recently started working on such a 
  piece of legislation.</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">10.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  To this day, the ICPD Programme of Action is the only global consensus on what 
  we as the international community must do to tackle population challenges at a 
  global, regional, national and even community level. </font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">11.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  Population challenges in Europe are different from most other parts of the 
  world, as Mr Brunhart points out in his report, even when compared to other 
  developed regions such as North America where population is increasing. The 
  closest parallel to European population trends can be found in East Asia, 
  particularly those countries which have undergone, as we have, what is called 
  the demographic transition; countries such as Japan, South Korea, Singapore 
  and increasingly Thailand. </font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">12.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  Looking at demographic decline in Europe, we should consider the following 
  factors: </font></p>
  <ul>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">Precarious living conditions in some 
    countries have brought about a lessened willingness to start a family, 
    especially among child-bearing age women and couples. For example, the high 
    proportion of internally displaced people in the Caucasus region are certain 
    to decrease the willingness and ability of young people to have a family, 
    despite any desire to do so. </font></li>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">The collapse of the health systems and the 
    former inadequacies in the existing health infrastructures of former Soviet 
    countries can account for a significant percentage of the demographic 
    decline. For example, lack of access to affordable and reliable 
    contraception has produced a dependence on abortion as a method of fertility 
    regulation; in the 1990s the average woman in the Russian Federation had 
    between 5 and 7 abortions. Even in the best of conditions, repeated 
    abortions can cause permanent infertility. Lack of access to affordable and 
    reliable contraception also meant a significant increase in sexually 
    transmitted infections, in some countries up to 8 times the average in West 
    European countries. A number of these STIs, if left untreated, can cause 
    permanent infertility. </font></li>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">The looming threat of HIV/AIDS in Central 
    and Eastern Europe, where UNAIDS declared in 2002 and again this year that 
    the Russian Federation was one of five countries around the world where, 
    unless decisive action was taken immediately, the HIV/AIDS virus would reach 
    epidemic proportions in that country.</font></li>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">When looking at the impact of the same 
    virus on countries where it has reached epidemic proportions, for example in 
    sub-Saharan Africa, we can see the effects on population decline, negative 
    growth, social fracture and collapse of social systems that the epidemic can 
    cause. </font></li>
  </ul>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">13.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  With this in mind, when considering future population policies in Europe, we 
  should first of all be inspired by the internationally agreed consensus and 
  objectives in the field of population, particularly this year as the UN 
  General Assembly meets on 14 October to commemorate the ICPD Programme of 
  Action.</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">14.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  In concrete terms, this should mean that : </font></p>
  <ul>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">we address health challenges which inhibit 
    people to have the number of children they desire</font></li>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">improve health conditions to allow people 
    to remain fertile</font></li>
    <li>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">address looming health challenges which 
    can negatively impact demographic trends, such as HIV/AIDS</font></li>
  </ul>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">15.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
  Finally, in addressing population and demographic trends we must also 
  recognize that many people may not wish to have more children or found a 
  family. In this respect, we must give particular attention to the need to 
  adapt social systems to conform to this new reality. </font></p>
  <p align="justify"><b><font size="2">Proposed amendments </font></b></p>
  <p align="justify"><b><font size="2">to the report of the Committee on 
  Migration, Refugees and Population (Doc. 10182)</font></b></p>
  <p align="justify"><b><font size="2">Amendment N� 1</font></b></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">In the draft recommendation, after paragraph 
  6, introduce a new paragraph as follows:</font></p>
  <blockquote>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">&#147;The Programme of Action adopted at the 
    International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) in Cairo by 
    179 countries in 1994 represented the acknowledgement by the international 
    community and by all signatory countries, including all Council of Europe 
    member states, that the individual must be placed at the heart of all 
    population, demographic and sustainable development policies. The ICPD 
    Programme of Action, which marks ten years of implementation this year in 
    2004, is often heralded as a paradigm shift away from the purely demographic 
    targets of the 1960s, 70s and 80s towards an approach which recognized the 
    central and legitimate right for every individual, in this case particularly 
    women, to make their own informed choices about if and when to found a 
    family and the number and spacing of their children.&#148;</font></p>
  </blockquote>
  <p align="justify"><b><font size="2">Amendment N� 2 </font></b></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">In the draft recommendation, in paragraph 9 
  vii, at the end of sub-paragraph a. add :</font></p>
  <blockquote>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">&#147;in line with the ICPD Programme of Action 
    (Cairo, 1994);&#148;</font></p>
  </blockquote>
  <p align="justify"><b><font size="2">Amendment N� 3 </font></b></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">In the draft recommendation, in paragraph 9 
  vii, after sub-paragraph c. add a new sub-paragraph. as follows:</font></p>
  <blockquote>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">&#147;recognise that many people may not wish 
    to have more children or found a family and in this respect adapt social 
    systems to conform to this new reality;&#148;</font></p>
  </blockquote>
  <p align="justify"><b><font size="2">Amendment N� 4 </font></b></p>
  <p align="justify"><font size="2">In the draft recommendation, in paragraph 
  9.vii.f.A., introduce a new sub-paragraph as follows:</font></p>
  <blockquote>
    <p align="justify"><font size="2">&#147;address health challenges which inhibit 
    people to have the number of children they desire, improve health conditions 
    to allow people to remain fertile and respond to looming health challenges 
    which can negatively impact demographic trends, such as HIV/AIDS;&#148;</font></p>
  </blockquote>
  <hr color="#000000" size="1" width="50%">
  <p align="justify"><i><font size="2">Reporting Committee</font></i><font size="2"> 
  : Committee on Migration, Refugees and Population (Doc. 10182)</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><i><font size="2">Committee for opinion</font></i><font size="2"> 
  : Social, Health and Family Affairs Committee</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><i><font size="2">Reference to committee</font></i><font size="2"> 
  : <a href="../doc03/EDOC9805.htm">Doc. 9805</a>, Ref. No. 2842 of 27.05.03</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><i><font size="2">Opinion</font></i><font size="2"> adopted 
  by the committee on 5 October 2004</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><i><font size="2">Secretaries to the committee</font></i><font size="2"> 
  : Mr Mezei, Mrs Nollinger, Mrs Meunier and Mrs Karanjac</font></p>
  <hr color="#000000" size="1">
  <p align="justify"><a href="#_ftnref1" name="_ftn1" title><font size="2">[1]</font></a><font size="2"> 
  See <a href="EDOC10182.htm">Doc. 10182</a> tabled by the Committee on 
  Migration, Refugees and Population.</font></p>
  <p align="justify"><a href="#_ftnref2" name="_ftn2" title><font size="2">[2]</font></a><font size="2">
  </font><i><font size="2">The Cairo Consensus at Ten: Population, Reproductive 
  Health and the Global Effort to End Poverty, UNFPA, 15 September 2004.</font></i></p>
  <p>&nbsp;</p>
  </span>
  
  </blockquote>
  </body>
</html>